BJP ? || Does low voting benefit BJP? ||
Indias Lok Sabha elections kicked off last week, with the first of seven phases that will carry on until May 19. On that day we will get the first indications of how voting has gone, since exit polls can only be published after voting in all phases is complete. Counting will begin on May 23 and the official verdict will become clear.
So what are political analysts and political junkies going to do between now and May 23?
One option is to listen to the claims of political parties themselves. But, with research suggesting that Indian voters are influenced by who they think is likely to win in an election, even trusted political sources are often attempting to convey the impression that their party has done well in the hope of creating hawa, the chatter that suggests which way the wind is blowing.
The other option is to look at turnout figures the only officially published data that we have access to once voters have actually gone out and pressed the EVM buttons. The Election Commission provides official numbers of how many people voted after every phase. Analysts seize on it, hoping to derive some sort of political data from the numbers.
The turnout in the first phase on April 11 was 69.43%, just marginally lower than the figures from 2014, although there were much larger variations if you look a little more closely. All 17 Lok Sabha seats in Telangana, for example, saw a drop in turnout, while only two out of eight seats in Uttar Pradesh had a higher turnout than 2014.
https://scroll.in/article/920144/elections-2019-can-turnout-numbers-tell-us-if-the-bjp-is-likely-to-be-re-elected
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BJP ? || Does low voting benefit BJP? || Indias Lok Sabha elections kicked off last week, with the first of seven phases that will carry on until May 19. On that day we will get the first indications of how voting has gone, since exit polls can only be published after voting in all phases is complete. Counting will begin on May 23 and the official verdict will become clear. So what are political analysts and political junkies going to do between now and May 23? One option is to listen to the claims of political parties themselves. But, with research suggesting that Indian voters are influenced by who they think is likely to win in an election, even trusted political sources are often attempting to convey the impression that their party has done well in the hope of creating hawa, the chatter that suggests which way the wind is blowing. The other option is to look at turnout figures the only officially published data that we have access to once voters have actually gone out and pressed the EVM buttons. The Election Commission provides official numbers of how many people voted after every phase. Analysts seize on it, hoping to derive some sort of political data from the numbers. The turnout in the first phase on April 11 was 69.43%, just marginally lower than the figures from 2014, although there were much larger variations if you look a little more closely. All 17 Lok Sabha seats in Telangana, for example, saw a drop in turnout, while only two out of eight seats in Uttar Pradesh had a higher turnout than 2014. https://scroll.in/article/920144/elections-2019-can-turnout-numbers-tell-us-if-the-bjp-is-likely-to-be-re-elected